Strategy News for Schools Newsletter

1. High Growth in numbers – Probably applicable for many lower fee independent schools in high growth corridors.

2. Continue as is – with approximately current enrolments for the next 10 years. Most schools feel this is their reality, but maybe it is not?

3. Small drop in numbers – both from local students (within 5 kms) and more distant relying on public and private buses. Probably this is the real situation for many schools as in my view the pendulum will probably swing back from the post COVID high to a more normal reality. Competition for the new students over the next few years will be very competitive, and there is a finite number.

4. A drop that may be nearer 10% over the next 10 years – The reality of the current population forecasts may mean that by simply retaining your market share in a higher socio-economic area, this is where the numbers will lie. Thinking you can supplement your enrolments greatly by transporting large numbers of students in is also very optimistic as lower fee schools in middle socio-economic areas will be doing their best to hold their market shares as well.

Contact me directly for a quick chat about your school’s most likely facts and data…or read more right now in my quick reference slides at https://spectrumanalysis.com.au/blog/demographic-issues-facing-schools-today 

2. Educate Plus Webinar ‘A Changing Demographic Landscape’ 
This webinar goes into more detail about what I describe above. The slides and recording are now available online at https://spectrumanalysis.com.au/blog/educate-plus-webinar-a-changing-demographic-landscape

3. National Education Summit Melbourne 28 – 29 August 2025
Spectrum Analysis will be an exhibitor at the National Education Summit at the Melbourne Convention and Exhibition Centre from 28-29 August 2025. I will be presenting on ‘Strategic planning for schools – Hope is not a strategy!‘ from 1:45pm – 2:15pm on Thursday 28 August 2025. See the full program and register now at https://www.nationaleducationsummit.com.au/melbourne – I look forward to seeing you in Melbourne!

 4. Educate Plus NSW / ACT Summit 23 – 24 October 2025
Spectrum Analysis will be an exhibitor at the Educate Plus NSW/ACT Summit at the Novotel at Olympic Park in Sydney from 23 – 24 October 2025. I will be presenting on the topic of Demographic, Future Enrolments and Community Engagement across Sydney, Canberra and NSW, and the future of Single Sex Schools in the session on ‘Living in Changing Demographics for Schools in NSW/ACT‘ from 11:15am -12:15pm on Thursday 23 October 2025. See the full program and register now at https://www.educateplus.edu.au/epevent/nsw-act-chapter-summit-2025 – I look forward to seeing you in Sydney!

5. Sponsor of Catholic Education Business Administrators (CEBA)
Spectrum Analysis is also a sponsor of Catholic Education Business Administrators (CEBA) and we look forward to sharing news and insights with their members. https://www.ceba.edu.au